Wednesday, 22 February 2023
260: You Cannot Eat Your Salad Even If You Want To
No 259: Excellent Introductory Article to Government Borrowing
PUBLIC finances are an important part of the Economics course and a crucial current UK issue (as shown by the last post), but it is a tricky topic, especially the subject of government borrowing.
Hence all of you should read this excellent article from BBC News: How much money is the UK government borrowing, and does it matter?
No 258: Lots of Lovely Tax Money!
Wednesday, 15 February 2023
No 257: Many Important UK Economy Figures This Week
A BUMPER week for UK economic data. Here is a summary, but make sure you also read the full article given for each one:
UK GDP Growth was -0.5% in December. But over the quarter (Oct, Nov, Dec) it was 0%, so the UK avoided (just!) being in a recession. uk q4 gdp
Wages increased by a near-record 6.7% in Q4 2022, but this is still far below inflation. Unemployment remained extremely low - 3.7% for Q4 2022. uk wages / unemployment
Inflation for January was 10.1%, lower than the 10.5% of December, but still near record high. A particular worry is inflation in food and drink prices, which was 16.7%. uk jan inflation figures
Sunday, 12 February 2023
No 256: Battle of the Bots
YOU may feel there is pressure on you to get it right when you do a test or exam, but imagine giving one wrong answer that cost you $106 billion!
As this article explains, exactly that happened earlier on this week when Alphabet (owner of Google) demonstrated its new AI rival to ChatGPT, called Bard. It gave wrong information about the James Webb space telescope, and markets took this as such a negative sign of Bard’s capabilities that within a day Alphabet’s shares lost 9% in value.
This comes in a week when Microsoft announced a deal to use ChatGPT technology in its Bing search engine. Currently, only 3% of internet searches are done using Bing, while Google search accounts for 90%. However Microsoft estimates that every 1% of the search engine market represents $2 billion extra in advertising revenue. Let’s say they pay ChatGPT $10 billion and this in turn increases Bing’s share by 5% - this would obviously be well worth it. On the other hand you can bet that Alphabet will be putting lots of money in developing Bard, especially its knowledge of astronomy!
No 255: My verdict on chatgpt for Economics essays
AS you can see from the previous post, I have been playing around with chatgpt - a new AI chat bot I am sure most of you will have heard of. I got it to write an IB IA, an A-Level 25 mark essay, and a competition essay.
And the verdict is….. don’t bother using it for your own work. Apart from it being morally wrong to do so, you will not get a good mark if you do. I marked what chatgpt did - the IA scored a 4, the A-Level essay a D, the competition essay was only mediocre. While it can produce a reasonably general Economics essay for, say, a blog, it is simply is not able to follow the very particular demands of a specialist Economics essay (which, by the way, is what you are learning to write!). Some people have also said that what one could do is use it for the basis of an essay and then modify the result. I think you would spend more time on the modifying than it would take to write it from scratch yourself.
So my message is, sorry, you’d better do your own homework!!!!
Friday, 10 February 2023
Thursday, 2 February 2023
No 253: Bank Of England Increases Interest Rates
THIS morning the Bank of England increased it's Bae Rate of Interest to 4% up from 3.5%. The effect of this will for all other banks to put up their interest rates too. This is a good brief explainer from the BBC: